Description
This role is for one of our clients
A leading AI research team is seeking independent forecasters to contribute to a project focused on enhancing machine reasoning and predictive performance. Ideal for individuals active in forecasting platforms or competitive prediction markets who want to apply their forecasting skills toward improving next-generation AI systems.
Requirements
Key Responsibilities
- Generate structured, probability-based forecasts across domains such as economics, finance, geopolitics, and global trends
- Document reasoning, assumptions, data sources, and statistical logic behind each forecast
- Use models, heuristics, and analytical frameworks to inform predictions
- Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI research contributors
- Provide feedback on forecast prompts, evaluation criteria, and question design
Ideal Qualifications
- Active forecaster on platforms such as Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, Numerai, Kaggle, etc.
- Competitive forecasting record, leaderboard ranking, or documented tournament performance
- Strong understanding of statistical thinking, probabilistic modeling, and uncertainty analysis
- Ability to clearly express reasoning and methodologies in writing
- Self-motivated, analytical, and intellectually curious
Project Details
- Fully remote, asynchronous work — set your own schedule
- Expected time commitment: 10–20 hours per week
Compensation & Terms
- Compensation range: $105–140 per hour (U.S.-based candidates)
- Independent contractor engagement